Довольно интересная статья о темпах развития open source

The significance of open source has been continuously increasing over time. Our research validates this claim by looking at the total growth of open source. Our work shows that the additions to open source projects, the total project size (measured in source lines of code), the number of new open source projects, and the total number of open source projects are growing at an exponential rate.

Our results open gates for further research around the growth of open source and the acceptance of open source in industry and government. Future research should explore questions like what factors are influencing this exponential growth, how source code growth relates to the number of engaged software developers, and whether or how long open source can sustain this exponential growth.

http://www.riehle.org/publications/2008/the-total-growth-of-open-source/

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